Full reasoning traces for five LLM multi-agent coordination configurations evaluated on 100 resolved Polymarket binary prediction markets. Includes the Murphy decomposition leaderboard from the companion paper.
Datasets
Open datasets released alongside ForesightFlow research. All datasets are published under CC-BY-4.0 unless otherwise noted.
LLM Multi-Agent Coordination Traces on 100 Prediction Markets
CC-BY-4.0ForesightFlow Insider Cases
CC-BY-4.0A curated validation set mapping eight publicly documented episodes of suspected informed trading on Polymarket to concrete on-chain market identifiers. Cases span 2023–2026 and cover 24 individual markets across military and geopolitical actions, corporate proprietary disclosures, and regulatory decisions.
Polymarket Resolution Typology Dataset
CC-BY-4.0A three-class classification of 911,237 Polymarket markets by resolution mechanism (deadline_resolved, event_resolved, unclassifiable). Snapshot cutoff 2026-04-27. Released as a methodological resource for ILS-based informed-trading research.